Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.323767 0.427544 0.541325 0.673404 0.820770 0.978631 1.159094
2025-08-17 0.153860 0.277505 0.432316 0.629912 0.867018 1.135693 1.457180
2025-08-24 0.071117 0.186211 0.351500 0.580127 0.869653 1.210325 1.629701
2025-08-31 0.031189 0.134194 0.306479 0.562928 0.902274 1.313142 1.829380
2025-09-07 0.012889 0.105044 0.285007 0.569836 0.959551 1.441198 2.054998
2025-09-14 0.002612 0.077511 0.258006 0.563535 0.995842 1.540740 2.244341
2025-09-21 NaN 0.052966 0.227742 0.547071 1.014871 1.616052 2.402172
2025-09-28 NaN 0.047498 0.232742 0.583574 1.105396 1.781523 2.670273
2025-10-05 NaN 0.045125 0.243536 0.628938 1.208116 1.962673 2.957940
2025-10-12 NaN 0.040507 0.247694 0.662908 1.294602 2.122871 3.219754
2025-10-19 NaN 0.041069 0.264488 0.717855 1.410897 2.321850 3.530082
2025-10-26 NaN 0.037838 0.270576 0.754521 1.501097 2.487013 3.798450
2025-11-02 NaN 0.028277 0.257709 0.760520 1.550919 2.604599 4.014286
2025-11-09 NaN 0.013185 0.216836 0.713710 1.522584 2.619319 4.101606
2025-11-16 NaN 0.003600 0.176358 0.660567 1.480501 2.612624 4.159107
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000672 0.155967 0.642114 1.488275 2.670894 4.297643
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000054 0.148887 0.649525 1.535244 2.781861 4.503456
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.136000 0.642769 1.559198 2.860951 4.667953
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.119410 0.625115 1.564581 2.913764 4.797959
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.127154 0.664237 1.661446 3.093239 5.092561
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.138817 0.712751 1.773627 3.294101 5.415165
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.145304 0.749011 1.866063 3.467712 5.702521
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.161208 0.807544 1.994575 3.691429 6.055155